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Morocco FX Analytics · Price competitiveness

Price competitiveness of the dirham

The real effective exchange rate (REER) measures the dirham's value adjusted for inflation, against all of Morocco's trading partners. A price competitiveness indicator for exports.

Latest data point · June 2026 Source · BIS — REER

Price competitiveness of the dirham for exports

Real and nominal effective exchange rate of the dirham · source BIS (Bank for International Settlements) · base 2020 = 100 · basket of 64 trading partners · monthly since 1994

Effective exchange rate: an average of the dirham against all its trading partners, weighted by each partner's share of Morocco's trade. The euro carries a lot of weight (Europe is the top partner), the yen very little — it's a global view, not the rate against a single currency.
Nominal exchange rate: the raw rate, as displayed by banks.
Real exchange rate: the nominal rate adjusted for relative inflation. If prices rise more slowly in Morocco than among its partners, Moroccan products become relatively cheaper, even without any movement in the displayed rate.

Concrete example (June 2026). The dirham is 16% higher than in 2020 in nominal terms, but 2.5% lower in real terms: stronger inflation among partners has erased the nominal appreciation. That's the entire gap between the two curves.

Practical reading. When the real index falls, Moroccan products gain price competitiveness for exports (favorable to exporters). When it rises, they lose it. Watch out for the counter-intuitive part: “the dirham is depreciating” sounds negative, but it is favorable to export competitiveness.
Both sides of the coin: a weak dirham helps exporters but makes imports (energy bill) more expensive. It is not unambiguously “good” or “bad”.

The gap between the two curves reflects the effect of relative inflation: the wider it is, the more inflation among partners “offsets” the dirham's nominal appreciation. Price competitiveness influences exports, hence the trade deficit, hence pressure on the dirham — it is the link between exchange rates, inflation, and the trade balance. · 390 monthly points · 1994-01 to 2026-06 · BIS, CPI deflator, 64 economies.
⚠ The last 1 months of the real index are approximate (dotted): the BIS only has Moroccan CPI data up to May 2026, and carries this value forward for subsequent months. These points will be revised.

International REER comparison

Real REER (BIS) · base {baseLabel} = 100 · 9 countries + Morocco · below 100 = competitiveness gain, above = loss

What is a base? The index equals 100 in the reference year. A country at 95 has gained 5% in price competitiveness since that date; at 110, it has lost 10%. Absolute competitiveness levels are not comparable across countries — Morocco at 97 and Turkey at 60 does not mean Turkey is “cheaper”. It only means Turkey has depreciated more in real terms since the base date. What's being compared are trajectories: a country whose curve falls gains price competitiveness for exports; a country whose curve rises loses it.

Why the BIS uses 2020. It's an institutional convention: the same base year for all 64 economies, which guarantees the comparability of published indices. But 2020 is also the year of Covid — collapsed tourism, exchange-rate shocks, erratic inflation. Comparing “since 2020” can therefore mainly reflect the exit from crisis, not an underlying trend.

Hence the base selector. Changing the base changes the question being asked. 2020 (BIS) = the official published index, which absorbed the Covid shock best. 2015 = medium term, excluding the shock. 2010 = long-run structural trend. Start of series = trajectory since the first date common to all displayed countries.
Note: only the 2020 base matches the official index published by the BIS. Other bases are recalculated in-house from the same BIS data.
BIS coverage: 9 countries displayed. Not available: Tunisia, Egypt (not in the BIS Broad basket). Source: BIS, same methodology for all countries.

Morocco's relative price competitiveness against its competitors sheds light on its export capacity, hence its trade deficit, hence pressure on the dirham. Latest common data point: 2026-06. · BIS, CPI deflator, 64 economies. Base 2020 = 100 (official BIS index).
⚠ Morocco, Algeria: the last 1 months are approximate (dotted) — the BIS carries forward the last known CPI. These points will be revised.